Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 330.672089 374.228512 422.399123 479.801296 546.570018 622.055737 714.239191
2025-11-16 264.766793 321.770611 390.341522 479.612449 593.796145 736.346402 929.975781
2025-11-23 226.272730 287.716548 365.725749 473.354309 620.076155 816.161797 1103.283233
2025-11-30 201.911642 266.330859 351.803120 475.549294 653.559641 905.793859 1300.271604
2025-12-07 179.839230 244.429204 333.290235 467.210658 668.803351 969.145580 1466.655411
2025-12-14 163.708064 228.479959 320.511113 464.309426 689.907663 1041.939809 1657.385347
2025-12-21 146.362720 208.791823 299.899755 446.629866 685.030413 1072.096967 1781.290334
2025-12-28 139.887143 204.289176 301.023176 462.022619 733.855910 1195.082720 2086.012021
2026-01-04 134.793074 201.244679 303.814847 479.974437 788.641580 1335.391251 2448.337566
2026-01-11 126.984185 193.181027 297.765323 482.312215 816.279155 1430.664629 2741.160458
2026-01-18 117.806858 182.120572 285.780491 473.026294 821.541507 1484.410457 2958.505620
2026-01-25 109.661456 172.073745 274.558414 463.786342 825.470425 1535.575164 3179.472816
2026-02-01 105.610087 168.662341 274.509420 475.135286 871.070829 1679.021137 3644.366090
2026-02-08 99.617974 161.510340 267.400043 472.709749 889.355104 1768.982681 4005.395392
2026-02-15 93.695281 154.004833 258.987148 466.817861 899.601964 1842.757927 4342.913906
2026-02-22 89.486007 149.177389 254.957364 468.946207 926.753754 1958.446795 4818.156337
2026-03-01 84.230438 142.099339 246.213119 460.746610 930.471799 2020.147072 5160.898607
2026-03-08 80.119329 136.810702 240.391041 457.891947 945.624107 2111.678697 5613.502879
2026-03-15 74.538113 128.457618 228.138220 440.497734 925.541145 2112.592905 5794.139577
2026-03-22 73.256262 128.027480 231.112575 455.642193 983.234887 2322.190844 6690.571462
2026-03-29 72.289167 128.111872 235.075065 473.302654 1049.420112 2566.977840 7785.717585
2026-04-05 69.717795 124.933618 232.257281 475.602351 1077.940674 2713.487138 8588.271746
2026-04-12 66.161811 119.617042 224.714869 466.467505 1076.229365 2773.430648 9092.453533